Decision Making as Output and Bounded Rationality

  The classical economics theories proceed on the assumption of rational agents. Rationality implies the economic agents undertake actions or exercise choices based on the cost-benefit analysis they undertake. The assumption further posits that there exists no information asymmetry and thus the agent is aware of all the costs and benefits associated with the choice he or she has exercised. The behavioral school contested the decision stating the decisions in practice are often irrational. Implied there is a continuous departure from rationality. Rationality in the views of the behavioral school is more an exception to the norm rather a rule. The past posts have discussed the limitations of this view by the behavioral school. Economics has often posited rationality in the context in which the choices are exercised rather than theoretical abstract view of rational action. Rational action in theory seems to be grounded in zero restraint situation yet in practice, there are numerous restra

Economics and Signalling: Beauty and Ownership of Durables

 

There is without doubt a fascination in many to look or appear beautiful or handsome. They want to score one up over their family members or friends or those in the social circle. There is no doubt an attraction towards spending on beauty products like cosmetics or dresses. There is further an attraction towards owning latest electronic gadgets, a keen inclination to own a car or at least a two wheeler, an innate desire to own house preferably in an upmarket belt, a tendency to possess and wear jewellery different from the rest. All these are instances which one observes around them in everyday life. To some it might be a necessity, to some it might be an aspiration, to others it might be fulfilment of desire to square up with their prospective rivals so as to speak. Yet in each of these actions or movements towards those actions, underlies a concept that is innate to economics. While as perceived from outside, economics might appear abstract, but as the explanation for these phenomenon unravels, the hidden hand of economics is more than visible.

 

Certain business professions demand ownership of a car and higher brands in particular. Whether it is about a doctor or a lawyer or a businessman or an architect, car becomes a kind of status symbol. Yet this symbol is not about showing up but indicating certain signals to the prospective clients. Let us assume a doctor keeps coming to his clinic walking or in a public transport. The signal he or she conveys would perhaps be of poor business. Any outsider would wonder why the doctor doesn’t own a car. The conclusion what one might derive would be he or she doesn’t have sufficient clients and thus earnings are relatively poor. Clients are relatively few because the doctor does not seem efficient. Similar conclusions can be derived about lawyers or architects etc. Therefore to demonstrate they are competent and have enough clients and therefore earn well, they need to convey a signal to the prospective clients. Therefore, ownership of a car and high end one in particular becomes a sort of indispensable. This however might not apply let us say to a professor. To a professor, it is the publications and the research output alongside the teaching skills that become essential for prosperity. External signals like car or house ownership might not indicate much. Therefore, their method of conveying signals would obviously be knowledge related and niche circles rather than a public signal.

 

Dress maketh a man or as so the saying goes. Humans spend enough on dresses and the way they look. Again, it is economics at work. In each human agent, there is an inclination to look different. There is a desire to outperform someone else. There thus arises a need to stand out in the crowd. This is possible when one looks different and thus gets noticed. It is virtually a perfect competition wherein, the agent looks towards creation of differentiation. This is where the dress comes into picture. The dress conveys signals about the human agent and his or her standing. Expensive and attractive dress might indicate they are affluent and thus convey different signals. To professionals like businessmen, this becomes critical as clients perhaps judge their tendency or their affluence through the dress. Apparently, at some level, the dress also conveys the affluence in the family. It is considered a bad custom to boast about oneself. Therefore in a world of information asymmetry, there has to exist methods that are indirect and yet convey the prosperity levels of a family or a social group. The dress what one wears conveys this.

 

In addition to dress, the jewellery one wears or the accessories one carries with also perform the similar task. The fascination for women towards jewellery is not merely to look beautiful but to convey to their neighbours, social circles and family circles about the earnings of their family. It is a virtual arms race with each one trying outperform or outshow the other. The resultant outcome might be a prisoner’s dilemma, yet in absence of that, the signals do not convey their standing and hence might suffer in some ways in the social standing. While prisoner’s dilemma might entail certain costs without being better off, yet they perhaps think a way to be individually better off than the other.

 

The business of beauty industry too functions on a similar paradigm. If the humans did not care about their beauty, the industry would have been dead or non-existent. Yet for ages, humans have more than competed to appear themselves as more beautiful or handsome than the others. Again it is the question of the arms race. In a crowd resembling a perfect competition, the only way to stand out is to differentiate. The differentiation thus comes through appearing beautiful or handsome. One has to get noticed and only someone appearing different gets noticed. Therefore, though an outcome might lead to prisoner’s dilemma, people still spend large amount of money on their appearance through looks, jewellery and other accessories, dress, travel mode among others.

 

The same principle can be further extended to ownership of durables. As one seeks to own the latest iPhone, or in pursuit of an electronic home, it is about conveying something about the family to the rest of the crowd. If someone owns the gadgets it would indicate their prosperity level. Since they cannot reveal directly, they have to look towards indirect means of revealing. Thus these durables and their ownership come in handy.

 

As such, economic agents want to reveal about themselves, about their competency, talent, attraction, and like. They want to demonstrate they are one-up over the others. Yet it cannot be demonstrated directly. There thus has to be created methods that convey the same information indirectly. These methods are primarily signals intended to convey something of desirable in them. This leads to an inclination to appear different. The outcome of a pursuit of sustained differentiation is the manifestation of such signals as illustrated above. Contrary to perception, these have nothing to do with human greed nor anything about religion nor above professional demands. These are essentially embedded in signalling theory seeking the conveyance of the intended signal in a universe of information asymmetry. The costs might be a prisoner’s dilemma as indicated above or a commodity trap. But the costs of not conveying those signals is perhaps higher. Thus the signals.

 

 

Comments

Popular posts from this blog

Decision Making as Output and Bounded Rationality

The Economics Origins of BCG Matrix

People and the Third Wave of Chinese Virus