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Showing posts with the label second wave

Decision Making as Output and Bounded Rationality

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  The classical economics theories proceed on the assumption of rational agents. Rationality implies the economic agents undertake actions or exercise choices based on the cost-benefit analysis they undertake. The assumption further posits that there exists no information asymmetry and thus the agent is aware of all the costs and benefits associated with the choice he or she has exercised. The behavioral school contested the decision stating the decisions in practice are often irrational. Implied there is a continuous departure from rationality. Rationality in the views of the behavioral school is more an exception to the norm rather a rule. The past posts have discussed the limitations of this view by the behavioral school. Economics has often posited rationality in the context in which the choices are exercised rather than theoretical abstract view of rational action. Rational action in theory seems to be grounded in zero restraint situation yet in practice, there are numerous restra
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India's COVID Waves

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  India’s second wave of the pandemic induced by the Chinese virus seems to continue unabated. The experts are forecasting a peak in a day or two. There are some positive signs however feeble they might be about the plateau of cases in a few states. Yet, the devastation seems to ravage. It would nice in statistics to talk about peak and plateau and flattening of the curve. It would be impersonal in statistics to discuss these terms. Yet to those who are suffering from the pandemic and those who have lost their lives and those who have lost their loved ones, it is a different thing altogether. The wreckage it has created besides the impact on the people’s psyche might take years before some normalcy might return. There is in all likelihood an increase in the cases impacting mental health which might not be easy to tackle around. There seems to be around a corner a mental health crisis across the country and perhaps globally. India has been facing the worse in the last month or so especi
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Modi and the Second Wave of Chinese Pandemic

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  India is in the grip of the second wave of the pandemic induced by the virus originated in China. The cases are hitting records which were unseen in the previous wave. India has now recorded more than two thousand deaths per day. Though the death rate is lower relative to the first wave, the fact that deaths happen around a week or two after testing positive cannot be ruled out. Therefore, it would be premature to discuss the deaths in comparison to the first wave. There has been a lot of talk about the reasons for the second wave. While there might reasons one too many, what cannot be discounted is the fact that once the wave strikes, there is very little one can do other than cessation of economic and social life. Britain has been able to come out of the second wave thanks to the lockdown accompanied by the rapid increase in vaccinations. Europe is still in the grip of the lockdown. It seems inevitable that India too would have to go in for a lockdown.   One of the reasons why
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Lockdowns, Utility, Costs and the Second Wave of the Chinese Pandemic

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  India is facing a second wave of corona virus induced pandemic. The cases are rising quite sharply. Hardly any state has been left untouched. The experts feel the peak is a little distance away. The tests have to increase and definitely have shown an increase. The spread is faster compared to the first wave. The cases are already increasing in excess of 1.5 lakhs per day compared to a peak of around 1 lakhs in the first wave. The vaccinations are steady, yet given the sheer size of India, they appear inadequate. India is vaccinating perhaps at the highest rate in absolute numbers but still they fall way behind the required rate to attain herd immunity in the shortest period of time. At this stage, there are again voices all around calling for a lockdown.   There is increasing view that Maharashtra will have to go in for a lockdown maybe for a couple of weeks. Despite the disagreement with the coalition partners, it would be safe to assume that Maharashtra is left with no option b
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