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Showing posts with the label Gartner Hype curve

Decision Making as Output and Bounded Rationality

  The classical economics theories proceed on the assumption of rational agents. Rationality implies the economic agents undertake actions or exercise choices based on the cost-benefit analysis they undertake. The assumption further posits that there exists no information asymmetry and thus the agent is aware of all the costs and benefits associated with the choice he or she has exercised. The behavioral school contested the decision stating the decisions in practice are often irrational. Implied there is a continuous departure from rationality. Rationality in the views of the behavioral school is more an exception to the norm rather a rule. The past posts have discussed the limitations of this view by the behavioral school. Economics has often posited rationality in the context in which the choices are exercised rather than theoretical abstract view of rational action. Rational action in theory seems to be grounded in zero restraint situation yet in practice, there are numerous restra

A Note of Gartner Hype Curve

Technology drives human progress. Yet it is not deterministic as believed by section of experts and practitioners. Technology is per se neutral, it is the means through which human ingenuity drives progress. There is of course excitement over the emergent technologies. Individuals as well as societies desire technology to be the catalyst in driving innovation, in making possible what they desire to want, a mechanism that occurs through a series of steps of achieving adjacent possible. Therefore in more ways than one, technology forecasting becomes critical input in planning the future tactics and strategy for any firm, individual or in aggregate terms an economy or a society. However, technology rarely emerges in an orderly fashion. More often than not, it emerges from the most unexpected of the places and at unexpected times. There are more than enough occasions when technology emerged far ahead of its time and thus failed to achieve a critical mass. To understand technology fo