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Showing posts with the label deflation

Decision Making as Output and Bounded Rationality

  The classical economics theories proceed on the assumption of rational agents. Rationality implies the economic agents undertake actions or exercise choices based on the cost-benefit analysis they undertake. The assumption further posits that there exists no information asymmetry and thus the agent is aware of all the costs and benefits associated with the choice he or she has exercised. The behavioral school contested the decision stating the decisions in practice are often irrational. Implied there is a continuous departure from rationality. Rationality in the views of the behavioral school is more an exception to the norm rather a rule. The past posts have discussed the limitations of this view by the behavioral school. Economics has often posited rationality in the context in which the choices are exercised rather than theoretical abstract view of rational action. Rational action in theory seems to be grounded in zero restraint situation yet in practice, there are numerous restra

Will the Indian Lockdown Create Inflationary Tendencies?

Some studies indicate a possibility of high inflation even in the excess of 10% within the next year. The expected inflation as per the surveys seem to point towards a jump of 3-4%. Interestingly, there is a divide among the economists over the after-effects of the Wuhan pandemic. The world having locked down for more than a month has without doubt created economic disruption both through Aggregate Demand (AD) and Aggregate Supply (AS) There has been an induced halt to aggregate demand with a similar restriction on aggregate supply. Furthermore, even with the lifting of lockdown, the propensity to self-protect might make prospective consumers wary of shopping thus lower AD. At the same time, the reluctance of the workers given the risks associated with the job tasks might make them skip from work thus adding to constraints in AS. Therefore an analysis would be worth pursuing over the likely inflationary impact or otherwise of the economic shutdown caused by the Wuhan flu. There