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Showing posts with the label global bond indices

Decision Making as Output and Bounded Rationality

  The classical economics theories proceed on the assumption of rational agents. Rationality implies the economic agents undertake actions or exercise choices based on the cost-benefit analysis they undertake. The assumption further posits that there exists no information asymmetry and thus the agent is aware of all the costs and benefits associated with the choice he or she has exercised. The behavioral school contested the decision stating the decisions in practice are often irrational. Implied there is a continuous departure from rationality. Rationality in the views of the behavioral school is more an exception to the norm rather a rule. The past posts have discussed the limitations of this view by the behavioral school. Economics has often posited rationality in the context in which the choices are exercised rather than theoretical abstract view of rational action. Rational action in theory seems to be grounded in zero restraint situation yet in practice, there are numerous restra

Bond Indices, Public Debt and Impossible Trinity

The piece Prime Minister Modi’s Foreign Journeys and Forex Reserves   argues an association between foreign capital and geopolitics in formulating a geostrategic doctrine.   What is striking, however, is the fact that a quarter of century of post-cold war and post non-alignment, suspicions about the West have not been erased from the Indian psyche.   However, it would be imprudent to discount overt or covert linkages between aggressive investor wooing with the need to shore up foreign exchange (forex) reserves. Besides accretion to forex reserves, there is added objective to ease access to foreign capital. Domestic investment is financed through a combination of domestic savings, government savings and savings of the rest of the world. Domestic savings are usually constant. The increased level of government dissaving (increasing fiscal deficit) leads to increased current account deficit (savings from the rest of the world). The twin deficit paradox has implications for domestic