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Showing posts with the label GDP

Decision Making as Output and Bounded Rationality

  The classical economics theories proceed on the assumption of rational agents. Rationality implies the economic agents undertake actions or exercise choices based on the cost-benefit analysis they undertake. The assumption further posits that there exists no information asymmetry and thus the agent is aware of all the costs and benefits associated with the choice he or she has exercised. The behavioral school contested the decision stating the decisions in practice are often irrational. Implied there is a continuous departure from rationality. Rationality in the views of the behavioral school is more an exception to the norm rather a rule. The past posts have discussed the limitations of this view by the behavioral school. Economics has often posited rationality in the context in which the choices are exercised rather than theoretical abstract view of rational action. Rational action in theory seems to be grounded in zero restraint situation yet in practice, there are numerous restra

A Note on Circular Flow of Income and National Income Accounts

Macroeconomics differs from microeconomics in the mode of analysis. While the latter uses the bottom up approach using a profit maximising firm or utility maximising individual as the starting point, the former uses the geographic construct of an economy as a starting point. To borrow from the forest, one can analyse the forest from the point of the various animals, birds, reptiles, insects, plants, shrubs, creepers, trees, herbs, caves, water bodies, soil among many other entities found in the forest. One can analyse them individually, their functions in a group, their interactions, etc. This is bottom up approach, thus the micro way of analysis. The other way is to have helicopter view or bird’s eye view of the forest. One can observe the total area the forest occupies as percentage of landmass, the oxygen content released by the forest, the carbon dioxide and other green gases absorbed by the forest, the amount of water by volume in the forest, the nature of flora and fauna in th

Caselets in Macroeconomics

Caselet I- Rupee depreciation and textile industry The recent rupee depreciation has enabled the Indian textile industry to hold yarn prices and also increase yarn exports.   Though Indian industry demonstrates stronger backward linkages, low labour costs have enabled countries like Bangladesh, Pakistan and Vietnam to overtake India in terms of capturing textile export markets.   With Chinese Yuan appreciating, Indian exports have become more competitive. Indian textile export share is marginal ( 5% as compared to China’s 30%). Many analysts advocate leveraging the current scenario to capture the global market at the expense of China.   As a CEO of leading textile manufacturer, you are planning to go in for capacity expansion. Capacity expansion necessitates funding and thus you approach a consortium of banks. Prepare the detailed projections convincing the bankers how the global economic trends portray well for Indian textile exporters. (Note: Use financial statements sh