Decision Making as Output and Bounded Rationality

  The classical economics theories proceed on the assumption of rational agents. Rationality implies the economic agents undertake actions or exercise choices based on the cost-benefit analysis they undertake. The assumption further posits that there exists no information asymmetry and thus the agent is aware of all the costs and benefits associated with the choice he or she has exercised. The behavioral school contested the decision stating the decisions in practice are often irrational. Implied there is a continuous departure from rationality. Rationality in the views of the behavioral school is more an exception to the norm rather a rule. The past posts have discussed the limitations of this view by the behavioral school. Economics has often posited rationality in the context in which the choices are exercised rather than theoretical abstract view of rational action. Rational action in theory seems to be grounded in zero restraint situation yet in practice, there are numerous restra

Tastes and Preferences in Economics: Some Notes

 

Tastes and preferences are determinant of demand. The changing taste and preferences determine the changing patterns of demand. If there were to be demand creates supply, it would be reflected through the changing tastes and preferences. An instance would be in order. On September 11, 2020, it marked nineteen years since the two aircraft were hijacked to crash into the World Trade Centre Towers in New York. The Western world was brought to the reality of the gory Islamic terrorism. It is a different matter that war against Islamic terrorism still continues and at times it seems to happen in spits and bursts and not apparent conviction behind the same.

 

Yet aside from it, was the trauma it created in a whole population in the US. The Americans were terrified without doubt. There were scared to move out, to interact and many having lost their near and dear ones plunged into depression and loneliness. There was certain change in the purchase patterns in the US. Many Americans began buying toys and dolls. Teddy Bears began to be sold more. People needed company and these toys and dolls provided them. As people had lost their dear ones, they had no one to comfort them. In their moment of pall, gloominess and despair, the toys and dolls seemed to be their only source of comfort. The sales of Teddy Bears began to pick up. In fact it seemed that to a generation of the Americans young and old, these dolls would be a new source of company. Tastes and preferences changing and leading to new demand patterns. Quite often, this phenomenon is quoted as text book example of taste and preferences characterising the patterns of demand.

 

Tastes and preferences are heterogeneous in nature and individualistic in their expression. Yet, there exists a group preference which might be at odds with individual preference. Furthermore, there might be conflicting across cultures in expression and manifestation of preferences. Noted consumer theorist Sheena Iyengar narrates an instance wherein she ordered a certain combo with coffee in Japan which was perhaps found amusing by the Japanese service guy. He simply could not to terms that she could have a combo which apparently was not unusual in her country US. Yochai Benkler talked about a different incident in Spain. He decided to tip the restaurant guys which would have been common and the norm in the US but in Spain it created some sense of discomfort and disappointment. He has to reposition it stating it is for the drinks to all the staff that he was sponsoring or so.

 

Frequently, internet and social media is abuzz with some unusual dishes that that are being talked about. The reactions to these dishes whether Facebook, Instagram, Whatsapp, Twitter or any other platform indicates the extent of disagreement and the expanse of the expression of same as reflection of taste heterogeneity. It is just about experimentation but the reactions to the experiments bordering on resistance and ridicule that manifests the heterogeneity and extremity in tastes and preferences.

 

While tastes and preferences do doubt shape demand and thus supply, the question does remain on how to measure tastes and preferences. One way to measure would be the group preferences. The group preferences are aggregate of individual preferences but manifest in a way very different from the individual preferences. Parking a car would be a routine activity, yet the parking of a car of the first person to enter the lot would determine how others park their car, something discussed quite elaborately in the past posts highlighting the economic analysis of Thomas Schelling. At an individual level, the analysis would have to separate the stated preference from their actual preference exercised. A couple of instances would be in order to explain the assertion. Indians when asked question about their views on caste or religion would tend to describe themselves as broad minded and not bothered about caste, sub-caste, religion etc. Yet while this is their stated preference, the revealed preference so as to speak often emerges very differently. The best example would be the market for marriages wherein they would be very particular down to the gotra. The ads for marriages on various online portals like Shaadi.com as also in the newspapers testify to the exhibition of preferences perhaps in contrast to what they have stated. One is not digging into the merits or demerits of the same. It is a proposition that needs to be examined in a different place. Similarly, the owners of the residential spaces demonstrate high degree of choosiness when they rent out their residential spaces. It again is in contrast to their often stated views on religion caste, race etc. It must be pointed that they might have valid reasons for the preference being exhibited but the point to illustrate is a mechanism to measure the true preferences.

 

Preferences are of course deemed to consistent and clear. The buyer is clear on what they expect. Their choices reflect the utility they generate by exercising their choices. The more the additional utility they generate by consuming an additional unit of a good, the more they will consume. Consistency is something that the choices are clear. There is no unpredictability in choices. There is no dichotomy that gets exhibited. Furthermore, the baskets are not divisible. The basket of choices is indivisible. A consumer so as to speak cannot be purchasing a half basket of goods. In other words, the basket is lumpy. Therefore, any analysis of choices would have to factor in the basket of goods the consumer desires to buy.

 

The tastes and preferences are not often exhibited in isolation but in the context of the basket of goods that the consumer chooses to consume. While there is no doubt an analysis that is required to purchase a good in isolation, yet the analysis would remain incomplete without factoring in the basket of goods. The utility they generate in consuming the good is not independent but an outcome of the comparison with the other goods in the basket. It is not about mere eating out once in a week for instance but the whole experience of shopping or watching a movie or hitting a party circuit of which eating out forms one part. Therefore, an analysis of the taste and preferences in basket terms must be taken up. However, that is for another day.

 

 

 

 

 

 

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