Decision Making as Output and Bounded Rationality

  The classical economics theories proceed on the assumption of rational agents. Rationality implies the economic agents undertake actions or exercise choices based on the cost-benefit analysis they undertake. The assumption further posits that there exists no information asymmetry and thus the agent is aware of all the costs and benefits associated with the choice he or she has exercised. The behavioral school contested the decision stating the decisions in practice are often irrational. Implied there is a continuous departure from rationality. Rationality in the views of the behavioral school is more an exception to the norm rather a rule. The past posts have discussed the limitations of this view by the behavioral school. Economics has often posited rationality in the context in which the choices are exercised rather than theoretical abstract view of rational action. Rational action in theory seems to be grounded in zero restraint situation yet in practice, there are numerous restra

Notes on Economics- Shifts and Movements

 

There have been recent posts that have discussed certain dimensions of economics. Economics as we have noticed in the past posts is more about behaviour that anything else. It is about responses of economic agents manifest to various stimuli. These responses do not follow a necessary pattern but certain patterns can be deduced. At the core of economic thinking lies a construction of a relationship between buyer and seller. This construction was discussed at some length in an earlier post. These relationships are essentially an interaction between the terms of exchange of a good and the ability and willingness on the buyer and the seller to exchange the goods.

 

There must be a decision in the first place to produce a good. This implies the following questions need to be answered. Firstly, what has to be produced? Secondly, how to produce the same? Thirdly, it needs to factor in for whom to produce. Having grappled with these questions, there must exist a willingness and desire on the part of a producer to offer these goods for sale. This willingness may be a function of the terms of exchange. Furthermore, the willingness has to be complemented by the ability to produce the goods. In absence of the ability to produce goods, the willingness might not matter at all and indeed turn irrelevant. This again brings us to the question on how to produce the goods. While what to produce and for whom to produce might entail an understanding of the willingness or desire, the question of how to produce rests on the ability.

 

Similarly, to a buyer, the terms of exchange no doubt play a critical role. It is the terms of exchange that determines the ability of the buyer or otherwise in their final purchase decision. Secondly, along with the terms of exchange and the ability, the buyer too must demonstrate a desire and willingness to purchase the goods. Therefore, as one begins to analyse the dynamics of the relationship and interplay between willingness, ability and terms of exchange, it becomes imperative to understand how changes in these will impact the demand supply dynamics.

 

A primary consideration would be understanding the changes in terms of exchange. While economics assumes ceteris paribus, in reality, there is hardly anything but ceteris paribus. The realities keep changing and entail numerous interaction variables and independent variables. Therefore, without an analysis of the same, it is difficult to decipher the interplay. When the terms of exchange change, what analysts do would be to isolate the same and study its impact. This is done through a construction of demand or supply curve and examining the movement along these curves as prices change. The price changes are taken in isolation and therefore, the terms of exchange as they undergo a change will not impact the relationship constructed but only the quantity demanded or quantity supplied. At higher prices, the buyers will reduce their purchases while at lower prices, the buyers will increase their purchases. From the producer’s perspective, at lower prices, usually, fewer producers will offer their goods for sale while at higher prices, attracted by the incentives, the producers will usually offer higher number of goods for sale. This is termed, in economics, as movement along the demand or supply curve.

 

Yet, while this relationship doesn’t get impact when price changes are isolated, it must be pointed out, that price changes are not in silos. They are accompanied by other changes and at times price changes do induce changes in other factors. These factors other than price have an impact both on ability and willingness. For instance, as incomes rise, the ability on the part of the buyers’ changes for the better thus enabling a prospective buyer consume more for the same price. On the other hand, if the incomes drop perhaps due to large scale retrenchment or layoffs, the ability shrinks and thus consumer would reduce the purchases to reflect the new ability. Implied in this is the relationship between the terms of exchange, ability and willingness undergo a change? What one generates is the new demand curve in itself. Similarly, when the cost of production decline, the producer is able to offer more even though the prices might not have changed. On the contrary, as the costs of production goes up, the ability of the producer shrinks thus enabling them offer less at the same price even though other factors have remained constant. This again implies, the supply curve itself will change when the dynamics of ability and willingness undergo a change.

 

On a similar plane, the willingness to purchase or offer goods for sale might change too. An introduction of a substitute product will result in the prospective buyer seeking to explore other alternatives. This in turn would mean the willingness to buy their current purchase might shrink. Incidentally, on the other hand, the willingness to purchase the new good would increase. This changes the demand equations of both the existing product and the new product. To a producer, an offer of a new product or allure of incentives through a new product might shrink their willingness to produce the existing product and instead shift to a new product.

 

These interplays between willingness, ability and the terms of exchange are usually represented in a graphical form through what is described as a shift in the demand or supply curve. While a change in terms of exchange with all other factors being constant, one observes a movement on the demand or the supply curve as the case might be. However, as the ability and willingness itself undergo a change, they have their impact on terms of exchange resulting in development of new curve for demand or supply as the case might be. This is known as the shift in supply or demand curve.

 

There can be ‘n’ number of factors that can affect all these interrelationships and often are contradictory to each other. There might be quite a few factors that act in opposite directions. This necessitates one to study the demand function or the supply function. Yet a deeper analysis and construction of the same perhaps cannot be given justice in the current post and hence necessitates an engagement at a different time.

 

 

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