Decision Making as Output and Bounded Rationality

  The classical economics theories proceed on the assumption of rational agents. Rationality implies the economic agents undertake actions or exercise choices based on the cost-benefit analysis they undertake. The assumption further posits that there exists no information asymmetry and thus the agent is aware of all the costs and benefits associated with the choice he or she has exercised. The behavioral school contested the decision stating the decisions in practice are often irrational. Implied there is a continuous departure from rationality. Rationality in the views of the behavioral school is more an exception to the norm rather a rule. The past posts have discussed the limitations of this view by the behavioral school. Economics has often posited rationality in the context in which the choices are exercised rather than theoretical abstract view of rational action. Rational action in theory seems to be grounded in zero restraint situation yet in practice, there are numerous restra

Economies of Scale and Natural Monopolies- A Note

 

The world often seems of puzzles yet they go unnoticed. Yet to an economist or rather a student of economics, these puzzles are the ones which challenge their mind and thought process. Let us take a few instances. Across countries, we find a single railway company operating railway lines. If there are multiple companies, they operate in different geographic zones. For example, one would not find multiple companies laying railway lines between two cities let us say Mumbai and Delhi. Similarly electricity transmission too observes just one company operating as the power gets transmitted from the power generation source to the local transmission set ups for further distribution to households, industries and commercial establishments. The same observation can be made of water distribution companies. From the source of water till the local water tanks, one finds only pipeline being laid and there are no competitors found in this instance.

 

In economics, competition is the bedrock of market economics. Competition offers consumers multiple alternatives thus in many ways, embarrassment of riches. As the firms compete to garner the attention of the consumers, perhaps the prices are biggest casualty. The firms lose control over the prices thus driving them down. The lower prices, absence of supernormal profits at least in economic theory will drive social welfare upward. Yet, the above instances seem to reflect the contrary. However while there are cases were these have extracted higher prices, these are normally an exceptions. An instance that is often cited is the energy prices rising high in California. Another element that might explain the low price abuse in these industries could be the fact, that in most countries, the government themselves operate these industries. Despite this, when competition is supposed to be the foundation of economic welfare, why one does not observe the presence of competition in these industries along with some others. The answer lies in the structure of the firms as we shall examine soon.

 

Firms have to incur costs to produce goods. The costs are classified into fixed and variable costs. Fixed costs do not vary with the output while the variable costs vary with the output. In case of industries which have high fixed costs, these costs can be recovered only when they apportioned over large levels of output. As the fixed costs remains the same irrespective of output, at higher volumes, these costs get apportioned over larger levels of output thus bringing the average fixed costs down. In case of a graphical answer, the average fixed cost curve slopes downwards virtually moving towards touching the x-axis. If variable costs are low, these lowering average fixed costs bring down the average total costs significantly. The decline in average cost following every unit increase in output is what economists call the economies of scale. There are cost savings that are leveraged only at high volume. Thus the term economies of scale. Large industries function on this very paradigm.

 

In some industries, the leverage of economies of scale becomes possible only at very high volumes. This implies that presence of multiple players will make it difficult for the firms to reap the benefits of economies of scale. Consider the example of an electricity industry. The structure of industry is significantly predisposed towards fixed costs. If there were to be only one electricity consumer, he or she will have to pay for all the costs. As the volume increases, the costs will be recovered through spreading them across multiple customers. Given the nature of industry, it is difficult to lay transmission cable lines from the source of generation to the local transmission centres and from the local hubs to the households and commercial establishments by multiple players at the lowest possible price and cost. There is of course a first mover advantage who gets to lay the transmission line at the shortest possible route. This advantage is something witnessed across these utility industries.

 

In the water supply industry, the giant water pipelines that bring water from the reservoir to the water tanks for further distribution can be achieved at lowest cost only by a single player. Multiple players each using different pipelines would result in the scenario wherein the revenues required to recover the costs cannot happen at the lowest possible price. There is actually a decline in economic welfare. Therefore, it would make sense for only one player to operate in this zone. This is what one is observing in gas pipelines and distribution grid that is underway for transport and distribution of gas to households and commercial establishments.

 

In railways too, the possibility of laying railway lines between two cities in shortest possible distance thus generating lower prices is possible for only one player. It is not possible to create parallel railway lines between two cities unless one is ready to brace up for a high opportunity cost. Thus in these industries, the economies of scale are possible to be harnessed only when a single player is present. Therefore, economists call it the case of natural monopoly. The natural monopolies occur when the cost structure of industries is such that high fixed costs and very low variable costs make it impossible for multiple players to coexist and still keep the prices low. Thus perhaps the one who has moved in first will have significant advantage in these industries.

 

In many countries, these industries are viewed as possible sources of market failure. It might not be a market failure given the nature of industry but the functioning of the industries and the regulatory framework often creates conditions for market failure. Often, in other countries, one might observe a regulatory capture in these industries. Given the nature and thus the first mover advantage, firms which have moved in first exercise significant bargaining power over customers and thus create conditions for market failure. Given their alleged hold on the government, conditions become fertile for regulatory capture.

 

These reasons make the governments wary of bringing in private sector in these industries. The case for nationalization thus becomes strong. No doubt, that countries including India opted for nationalization of these utility industries. Railways will remain nationalised with respect to operating infrastructure, water and power utilities continue to government owned in most states though in some states the final chain, the last mile delivery is slowly getting privatized or at least the private players are being allowed to operate. As one went through this analysis, this apparent puzzle of natural monopolies seems to have been resolved.

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