Decision Making as Output and Bounded Rationality

  The classical economics theories proceed on the assumption of rational agents. Rationality implies the economic agents undertake actions or exercise choices based on the cost-benefit analysis they undertake. The assumption further posits that there exists no information asymmetry and thus the agent is aware of all the costs and benefits associated with the choice he or she has exercised. The behavioral school contested the decision stating the decisions in practice are often irrational. Implied there is a continuous departure from rationality. Rationality in the views of the behavioral school is more an exception to the norm rather a rule. The past posts have discussed the limitations of this view by the behavioral school. Economics has often posited rationality in the context in which the choices are exercised rather than theoretical abstract view of rational action. Rational action in theory seems to be grounded in zero restraint situation yet in practice, there are numerous restra

Of Economics, Right and Left

 

In recent days, there was news that Amazon is forcing its employees, especially the delivery team to urinate in bottles so as to save time. This is something that has come to be associated with what is wrong with capitalism and its variants and mutations. What Amazon seems to have done is nothing unusual if one goes by past precedents? There are countless stories of excesses by the capitalist enterprises in terms of their treatment of the employees. Instances from China highlight how poor conditions haunt the workers who assemble a Nike shoe to an Apple iPhone. They work in conditions that are pathetic and little time is given even for meeting their biological requirements. Instances of pregnant women being harassed and dismissed in factories from China to Sri Lanka to the Central America to avoid meeting maternity leaves and similar perks too have been well documented. The sweatshops as these get branded have been considered by a school of thought as something unavoidable evil in the economic growth trajectory. At the same time, there are many others who believe the sweatshops represent the ugly manifestation of what is known as capitalism or market economy.

 

Capitalism was used perhaps first in the Marxian writings as it sought to analyse the relative shift of power from labour to capital. The ownership of capital was the critical element that controlled the flow of profits and created a shift in the direction of wealth from labour towards the owners of capita. On the other hand market economics is very different. Markets focus on competition. The increasing competition ensures a battle for prices without compromises on the quality. Since consumers are constant race for lower prices along with the best possible quality, the producers are forced to match the expectations of the consumers. The failure to do so in the competitive scenario as the market economy envisages would result in the shift of the customer loyalties elsewhere. The world is thus dominated by a race to zero without affecting the quality. To a firm in the market driven economy it is either the cost reduction for a given level of revenues or the increase in revenues for given level of costs that would determine their existence.

 

Yet, in real life, firms seek to avoid competition and focus on market avoidance. There is a difference between market avoidance which ensures the buildup of monopolies while the competition is around enhance consumer welfare and thus social and economic surplus. In this context, pro-industry or pro-firm thus have a different meaning than a pro-market. It is this distinction that needs to be kept in mind as one analyses the market models. Conservative economics is not about defence of profits or concentration of profits. It is ideally the primacy of markets and centrality of producer and consumer choices. Yet, in the long history of economics, there has been constant attempts to brand both pro market and pro firm or pro industry as synonymous.

 

Interestingly, the right wing economics is not about markets per se. in fact, as one observes the economic policies of Donald Trump, it was more oriented towards big government spending something associated with the Keynesian school rather than the schools favoring the market mode. Margret Thatcher as PM once said in the House of Commons that she would follow Hayek as their gospel. In this she might have vociferously indicated her unequivocal support to the market economics propagated by the Austrian school. Yet, today’s right is more oriented towards cultural or social right rather than economic one. Austrian school might be finding favor in countries like Brazil, yet many other right wing leaders’ focus on a dose on nationalism coupled with big government spending. India for instance has been focusing on economic reforms over the last year, yet during the pandemic they emphasized heavily on government spending. There has been threefold increase in fiscal deficit, yet India plans to spend more in the months ahead while simultaneously pushing the reforms agenda including privatization of public sector firms.

 

It would be erroneous to posit right wing conservative economics as heretic and anti-people. Incidentally, the evidence posits a similar outcome for Marxian economics too. There is no doubt, the excesses of capitalism led to the evolution of Marxian theories. Marx attracted because he offered something different to capitalism. The appeal of collective ownership was too alluring. The Russian experience or at least that was being projected did appeal to many. To many countries independent in the 1940s to 1960s, the private sector was too weak to bring in the investment that would catalyze the GDP growth rate. Therefore, as Keynes would point out, the government would have to step in and create demand. There was increasing encroachment of the government into the economy. Yet, this increasing encroachment even at a certain degree would result in same consequences that would emerge as a result of capitalism at its peak.

 

The effects of monopoly by the government are not different from the monopoly of the corporates. As Big Tech seeks to colonize the minds, the government too would colonize the minds if given the absolute monopoly on means of production, distribution and consumption of goods, services and information. As the government crowds of the private sector, there would zero alternatives for the workers to seek employment elsewhere. This would mean a suppression of their rights. Any protest might be viewed unfavorably and dismissed or even put behind bars. This would mean the suppression of political freedom. Therefore, as Minoo Masani pointed out, the government monopoly on economy would cause a erosion of political and economic freedom and perhaps social freedom too. This was apparently an indicator of the failure of the Soviet or the Maoist systems. The current Chinese model is a party run model and thus without doubt a reason for the absence of economic and political freedom in the country. Ironically, the Keynesian model despite its emphasis on government intervention is not a leftist based model. Keynes advocates a strong role for the private sector but in the cyclical direction. The government intervention has to be counter-cyclical.

 

As one examines the economic ideologies, it is fashionable to bash the right or the conservative models in the name of promoting inequity etc. Yet it would wrong to term the leftist or the so called liberal developmental models as something panacea to the global development. Each economic ideological school deserves a detailed engagement and not pigeon-holed adjectives and superlatives.

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