Decision Making as Output and Bounded Rationality

  The classical economics theories proceed on the assumption of rational agents. Rationality implies the economic agents undertake actions or exercise choices based on the cost-benefit analysis they undertake. The assumption further posits that there exists no information asymmetry and thus the agent is aware of all the costs and benefits associated with the choice he or she has exercised. The behavioral school contested the decision stating the decisions in practice are often irrational. Implied there is a continuous departure from rationality. Rationality in the views of the behavioral school is more an exception to the norm rather a rule. The past posts have discussed the limitations of this view by the behavioral school. Economics has often posited rationality in the context in which the choices are exercised rather than theoretical abstract view of rational action. Rational action in theory seems to be grounded in zero restraint situation yet in practice, there are numerous restra

An Economics Approach to Thinking: A Note

 

As mentioned many a time before in the past posts, economics is not something narrow in the sense that it is restricted to demand and supply. It is an erroneous assumption that economics is about matching demand and supply. There is no doubt economics over the last 125 years or so has moved to demand based analysis and this virtually meant the demand curve becoming critical to the analysis. Yet, it would be only part of the answer as the demand is correlated to the supply. Therefore, to many, in common sense it became easier to associate economics with demand and supply. As they say in branding, perception is more important than the truth. Therefore, in the context of economics too, the perception often overrides the truth. Economics is far more than demand and supply. It is about understanding of interactions of individuals in producing the aggregate outcomes. This was something was the nicely summarized by Thomas Schelling as micromotives leading macrobehavior. There is an economic naturalist as Robert Frank would put it, inherent in every behavior and the outcome of that behavior.

 

Behavioral economics is about the exercise of individual choices and the deviations from the rationality in framing and execution of choices. It is about the cognitive constraints that emerge as barriers in decision making thus deviations from the assumptions of perfect rationality as viewed by traditional economics. Yet, it is not about perfect rationality but the contextual rationality or as Herbert Simon would put it the bounded rationality. Each economic agent would seek to analyze the costs and benefits associated with the decision making but the analysis as also the outcomes are not unbounded. In fact they are bounded by cognitive constraints that becomes the fundamental to the behavioral school argument of economic rationality being wrong. Rather than being wrong it is more prudent to suggest, the rationality is more subject to limitations rather than pure unbounded theoretical outcome.

 

One would look economics as a means of thinking. It is an approach to seeking solutions to problems. With every problem, there exists a solution and there is ever continued quest of seeking solutions. Economics provides an approach towards seeking these solutions. It is the thinking that drives the agents towards these solutions. The solutions are sought to be analyzed through the framework of economic tools. In this sense, economics is a diagnostics toolkit. To a successful doctor, it is the ability to diagnose that makes the difference. Similarly to an economist, it is ability to diagnose a social or an economic problem that makes the critical difference in suggesting the solutions. Therefore, it is the right toolkit that has to be applied in solving the challenges at hand and this is where economics comes in handy. Often, the solutions are thought of subconsciously yet when there is a post mortem, one seemingly detects an invisible hand of economics.

 

Adam Smith might have talked about invisible hand in terms of enhanced social and economic welfare but the hidden hand of economics is something ostensibly intrinsic in every design. Rather than a design of God as intellectual design school would want us to believe, it might be that there is economic design that rules the behavior and outcomes of those behavior. Economics unlike other social sciences perhaps, provides a set of diagnostic tools that facilitate deciphering the outcomes. It is about however applying the right diagnostic tool kit. Economic artistry is about specializing in the same. It is about seeking the right answers to the problems under consideration. There is perhaps a gift of garb in a few than enable them to master this. The economic artists are someone who would look at the problem very differently through the highly diversified toolkit lens of economics.

 

This approach has made possible economics invade virtually every social science discipline. In fact, psychology rather than seeking to encroach into economics something which behavioral school would do has seen enough of economics encroaching its territory. Incidentally, while there are economists who seek to diversify into sociological or anthropological thinking, the two streams themselves have become strongly ‘economicised’ in the sense many economic approaches are used to understand the sociological or anthropological problems. Many economists have moved into conquest of sociology and would soon perhaps surround anthropology. Political science is virtually a subset of economics these days. Yet there are many economists who believe concepts like power are not easily malleable to the economic toolkits being applied. Yet, there has been considerable application of economic thoughts into political science thus contributing to its richness and diversity. History often was considered isolated from the rest of social sciences in some ways. In recent times, there has increasing adoption of economic tools into understanding historical events. It might be more pertinent to view understanding history through economic lens is about post mortem analysis of history something to be used in forecasting the future. While there are numerous critics of economists getting involved in policy, yet it undeniable fact that policy would be unthinkable for good or bad without inputs from the economists.

 

Law to good extent is foundational on the principles of economics though the acknowledgment is not visible enough. There are jurists who have used economics to build legal models. Economics has also been used by quite a few to model criminal behavior and thus intruding into the decoding of criminology. Economic philosophy has strong roots in the traditional economic schools. Minus of philosophy, economics would be poorer just that the same could be said of the reverse. As one peruses economic studies, it proves the phenomenon is not isolated nor something to be treated in silos. It needs a diversified treatment involving inputs from several fields. Yet, while this happens, economics too can offer explanations in differing ways of the problems that the other social science fields encounters. Thus as observed in this column, the dominance of economic thinking on the domains of other social sciences is more robust and stronger than the counterfoil. Therefore, it would be no surprise to see economists presenting themselves across the fields rather than the other way round.

 

 

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