Decision Making as Output and Bounded Rationality

  The classical economics theories proceed on the assumption of rational agents. Rationality implies the economic agents undertake actions or exercise choices based on the cost-benefit analysis they undertake. The assumption further posits that there exists no information asymmetry and thus the agent is aware of all the costs and benefits associated with the choice he or she has exercised. The behavioral school contested the decision stating the decisions in practice are often irrational. Implied there is a continuous departure from rationality. Rationality in the views of the behavioral school is more an exception to the norm rather a rule. The past posts have discussed the limitations of this view by the behavioral school. Economics has often posited rationality in the context in which the choices are exercised rather than theoretical abstract view of rational action. Rational action in theory seems to be grounded in zero restraint situation yet in practice, there are numerous restra

Decoding the Yogendra Yadav Agenda

Behind the soft spoken suave urbane face lies a charlatan named Yogendra Yadav. While many might be taken in by his appearance, expression and vocabulary, he perhaps is one of those divisive faces that seek to foster their left liberal anti Hindu anti-India agenda. The psephologist turned political cum farmer activist is again in the news for reasons to do with economics that can be vicious if allowed to implement. He along with other alleged left liberal public intellectuals made public a position paper of sorts on how India should deal with the socio-economic crisis caused by the shutdown imposed in the wake of the pandemic caused by the Chinese virus, COVID-19.

 

The signatories to the paper are the usual suspects, some of whom do not even stay in India. They are the limousine liberals among whom are Abhijit Sen, Jayati Ghosh, Ramchandra Guha (since dissented on some points), Deepak Nayar, Jean Dreze among many others. For ten years from 2004-14, they were part of the National Advisory Council at different points of time and played a major role in the Indian economic and social policy framework of the era. The economic woes on the eve of 2014 elections were primarily the outcome of their ill-conceived policies. Many policies were just not ill-conceived or badly designed but were outright sinister. This includes the Communal Violence Bill that was eventually abandoned, the Right to Education, whose unintended consequences are still being felt today. The Sachar committee report too was their brain child. Deprived of power in the last six years they have tried to stay relevant through the print and left centric digital media besides generous support financial and otherwise from Western think tanks and institutions.

 

The agenda is modelled as Mission Jai Hind, a seven point plan to combat what they describe as economic, health and humanitarian crisis caused by the lockdown induced by the spread of the Wuhan Flu. A bird’s eye prima facie would not suggest anything sinister in most of the points.  For instance, their first point is the facilitation of the migrants to return to their native towns and villages within specified period of time. The migrants are being facilitated such a return. Yet in time of panic and pandemic, planned returns are not always possible. An earlier post had indicated how a planned egress is simply not possible in the current circumstances. Many want to reach the home early and would not mind cutting corners. Further, egged by certain sections who want to take pot-shots and create chaos on the shoulders of the returning labourers, a façade is built on the labour on the roads. This serves well the TRPs for channels and good brownie point for the opposition. Moreover, states like Maharashtra are more than keen to send the migrants back as they face an existential crisis of sorts. The attitude of some state governments is linked to creating troubles in states going in for elections soon.

 

Other measures suggested include expanding MNREGA for 200 days something demanded by Congress as well. The government by increasing the outlay has already factored in the same. The economic relief sought already addressed by the government. The only new point in the demand for economic relief like interest waiver etc. is the quantum of fund allocation and increase in time limit for the waivers of interest etc. Cash compensation through different schemes are already underway. The testing for coronavirus is already free and treatment at government hospitals is free. The measures to undertake revival of the economy have begun though not in the manner the so-called intellectuals would have desired.

 

Yet beneath all these measures is Point 7.1. The point look innocuous but beneath it lies the entire idea sought to propagated by the proposed agenda. The point reads “All the resources (cash, real estate, property, bonds,etc.) with the citizens or within the nation must be treated as national resources available during the crisis”. Implied in the assertion is the demand for nationalisation of all private property and assets in the guise of the pandemic induced crisis. Every property thus becomes the government property with no individual rights on the same. All houses will now be owned by the government with the existing owners turned into tenants. All firms will be nationalized with the government as the sole owner. The stock markets will be wound up. All private property like gold will be confiscated by the government. The individuals or the firms or the organizations or in other words, the economic agents in the country cannot own any property or asset or any resource within the borders of the nation. Ironically, it spares the resources owned by the domestic economic agents outside the borders of India. It might be perhaps due to many of these intellectuals live outside India and those who live in India are probably likely to own resources outside the border. Thus some self-interest inherent in the proposition.

 

The nationalisation of private property is alluring. The society loves expropriation of the rich since it presumably promotes equality. The perception that businesses earn supernormal profits at the expense of others thus resulting in extremely skewed allocation of resources. The high Gini coefficient distorts the equality of the society. Saint Simon’s proposition to each one, unto his need is alluring. But the society is equally biased towards competition. Competition drives the societal progress. Nationalization of property resources was the objective of Lenin, Stalin or Mao. In fact, the results from these experiments are disastrous. India too followed the nationalization of resources in varying degrees yet the results were bad to the economy. Rather than restore right to property, the demand is for the exact opposite and an extreme version at that.

 

The India psyche in political language has been to state in preferences towards a ‘Garibi Hatao’. This was the slogan which propelled Indira Gandhi into power in 1971. In fact 48 years later, in 2019, her grandson Rahul too went with the same slogan resulting in repeat catastrophe for the party. The reason for the same was simple. Instead of the stated ‘Garibi Hatao’, the revealed preference or the policy choices exercised reflected ‘Amiri Hatao’. To conclude, the agenda of these alleged intellectuals can be summarized by the following story on socialism. There were two neighbours. One had two cows, the other had none. The latter complained to the government about the former and demanded two cows for himself too. The response of the socialists was rather than give two cows, kill the two cows belonging to the former, so that both neighbours are equal with zero cows each!

 

 

 

 

 

 


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