Decision Making as Output and Bounded Rationality

  The classical economics theories proceed on the assumption of rational agents. Rationality implies the economic agents undertake actions or exercise choices based on the cost-benefit analysis they undertake. The assumption further posits that there exists no information asymmetry and thus the agent is aware of all the costs and benefits associated with the choice he or she has exercised. The behavioral school contested the decision stating the decisions in practice are often irrational. Implied there is a continuous departure from rationality. Rationality in the views of the behavioral school is more an exception to the norm rather a rule. The past posts have discussed the limitations of this view by the behavioral school. Economics has often posited rationality in the context in which the choices are exercised rather than theoretical abstract view of rational action. Rational action in theory seems to be grounded in zero restraint situation yet in practice, there are numerous restra

Tales of Hindu Bravery and the Contemporary Day

 

Indian historians in recent times have often talked about how Islamic invaders were easily able to conquer India. They also talk about the Islamic supremacy that enabled them to outbeat the Indian rulers who still used primitive methods of warfare. While the Indian rulers used primarily the elephants as their conveyance, their weapons still comprised of bows, arrows, swords or hand to hand combat. On the other hand, the Islamic rulers had got hold of the ammunition and gunpowder technology which enabled them to avoid hand to hand combat thus an advantage over the Hindus. Further it was claimed that cavalry power of the Muslims easily could outperform the Hindu elephant battalions.

 

There is no doubt, there is some truth in the same. The Hindu rulers did not venture into accessing advances in war. They perhaps felt no need of doing so. It was only in the later centuries that the Hindu rulers began to keep pace with the Muslim conquerors. In fact, in 1556, as Hemu marshalled his forces against Akbar, he used elephant as his conveyance rather than a horse. It was Maharana Pratap whose horse Chetak immortalized the beginning of cavalry a few years later.

 

There is another discussion that keeps happening on the effortless conquest of Hindu India at the hands of Islamic rulers. It was virtually talked about as the lack of Hindu unity that undid them. To the left and liberal historians and thinkers, this was a manifestation of Hinduism not being a single religion but set of amorphous religious loosely bounded. This serves them as a significant mark as they sought to divide Hindus on caste lines. This made their task easier as they sought to project Dalits, Adivasis or Dravidians as someone outside of the Hindu fold. In their mission against deracinating of Hindus and creating a state as imagined by themselves, these narratives perhaps served them quite a useful purpose.

 

Yet there is another angle to the story. There were numerous stories on Hindu resistance to Islam which lie untold and forgotten buried in deep caves of time. Each and every India town or region perhaps have their own heroes or heroines who stood steadfast against the Islamic rulers as they defended their homeland. They were defeated but to many an Islamic ruler, these were pyrrhic victories. Islam had conquered North Africa including Egypt, Mediterrnean including Syria within a few decades of the death of Prophet. In fact they had conquered Spain by the early part of the eighth century which they held till the latter half of the fifteenth century. They were stopped in Europe a couple of occasion just as they found themselves unable to penetrate India. They might have penetrated Sindh early, but even Kabul took a couple of centuries before its fall. Mahmud of Ghazni has often been described as someone interested in India’s wealth than a pursuit of Jihad but this could very well have been an outcome of his inability to conquer territory that forced to make certain trade-offs. It was only in 1192 that Delhi finally fell to Mohammad Ghur and it was few years later that the Slave dynasty was established. Yet barring Mughals, hardly any Islamic dynasties were able to rule beyond a few decades before giving way to another dynasty. The resistance of Hindus might have been untold, but in recent times has been gaining traction as symbolizing Hindu bravery.

 

Without doubt, it needs to be celebrated and stories told to future generations. However, a question naturally creeps into the mind whether this is sufficient. It is one thing to celebrate Hindu resistance but another thing to act in denial on the loss of Hindu territory to Muslims. Hindu reaches were well into the West of Kabul or the east of Jakarta. Yet all that remains today is the country of India as having come to existence on August 15 1947. It is moot to discuss why India has lost territories. Hindus were brave, defenced strongly to their last blood, jauhars happened, yet the result was something of loss. A loss meant a loss. The answer to an extent lay in the strategic thinking of the Hindu rulers, something keeps on continuing till date.

 

In the post “Hinduism in Global Digital Power Calculus”, some discussion has happened at some length on these issues. The power structures of Hinduism were generally geared inwards. They hardly had a need before the Islamic conquests on turning abroad. Apparently, the lack of advances in war technology was primarily due to lack of need to develop so. India hardly had faced invaders in the few centuries leading up to the beginning of Islamic conquest. There was virtually no need for them. No doubt, there were many battles within Indian land, but in terms of war technology, all were perhaps equal. There would have been perhaps no incentive to break the Prisoner’s Dilemma so as to speak.

 

As the above cited post mentions, the Islamic invasion while one part did lead to battles, yet at the societal, community or personal level, they led to inward looking ‘Dodger’ strategy, something discussed in the said post. In fact, those instances of bravery again reflected a defensive mindset rather than an offensive mindset. India, maybe rightly so, had prided itself as someone who has not conquered lands. For the millennium long Islamic and Christian rule, the Indic responses have taken shape of either dodging the core or defending as the case might be. However, this turns into a liability when confronted with others who are not willing to follow these rules or conventions.

 

In the current day too, Indian responses whether against Pakistan or China have been defensive or reactive. Rarely that have morphed into something of an offensive. Without an offensive strategic dimension, the Indic resistance as we talk about will continue to remain just merely talked about. It must be pointed out that throughout world, nobody cares for the second place. It is the winner alone who is talked about. As Indian right wing thinkers rekindle  those lost tales of Hindu resistance agains the Islamic rule, it must be pointed out that tales are only written by the winners and thus rational to expect these tales to be buried under deep snow. If these tales have to flourish, it is time that India builds on its offensive and create a new image for itself. Superpowers never arise without war or conquest. It is time India remembers the same.

 

 

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