Decision Making as Output and Bounded Rationality

  The classical economics theories proceed on the assumption of rational agents. Rationality implies the economic agents undertake actions or exercise choices based on the cost-benefit analysis they undertake. The assumption further posits that there exists no information asymmetry and thus the agent is aware of all the costs and benefits associated with the choice he or she has exercised. The behavioral school contested the decision stating the decisions in practice are often irrational. Implied there is a continuous departure from rationality. Rationality in the views of the behavioral school is more an exception to the norm rather a rule. The past posts have discussed the limitations of this view by the behavioral school. Economics has often posited rationality in the context in which the choices are exercised rather than theoretical abstract view of rational action. Rational action in theory seems to be grounded in zero restraint situation yet in practice, there are numerous restra

Gold- Brief Overview


Gold has a history dating back to 4000 B.C. with traces of usage in Eastern and Central Europe. By 1500 BC, it had become a medium of exchange in Egypt. Gold mines were predominantly located in Asia Minor though later by 500 A.D mines were discovered in Central Europe and France. Gold was widely used in Central and South America. In the 16th and 17th centuries, Spanish conquests to Central and South America and subsequent massacre of local population were linked to bring back gold from Central and South America. Gold was discovered in US in the late 18th Century. US linked dollar to gold in 1792 which was to continue till 1973. Explorations of new lands led to finding of gold in Australia and Southern Africa.

History of gold as a money spanned from about 700 BC till about 1930. The First World War (1914-18) and the Great Depression of 1929 resulted in many countries abandoning the gold standard. In 1933, President Roosevelt of the US banned gold exports, halted the convertibility of dollar bills into gold, and ordered confiscation of gold in the possession of the citizens. In the aftermath of the World War II,   the Bretton Woods System launched the new gold standard system in 1945

The Bretton Woods agreement virtually pegged the dollar to gold, an outcome being the dollar emerging as the reserve currency of the world.  Dollar outflow from US in the immediate post Second World War years ostensibly was to promote competitiveness yet it only increased the US trade deficit. The US had encouraged the outflow of dollars from 1945 to 1958 to promote competitiveness and growth in Europe and Japan. By 1958, the US trade deficit had swung negative while its gold reserves had increased only marginally. This was leading to situation wherein the US would face shortage of gold to redeem the dollars held by the countries. It was described as Triffin Paradox. The US ultimately abandoned gold standard in 1973 leading to collapse of Bretton Woods system.

Gold apart from being used for jewelry and as a store of value was used for a host of industrial and commercial applications. It was completely recyclable and all the gold that had been mined since the beginning of mankind still existed in some form or the other. It was virtually immune to air, water and oxygen. It did not tarnish, corrode or rust. It was ductile and malleable. All these factors made gold the preferred metal for jewelry. Being highly reflective and exhibiting least absorption and thermal conductivity enables gold to find application in space and firefighting industries.

Gold was being mined for hundreds of years. It had been first found on the beds of rivers and creeks and came to be known as alluvial gold. Later the mined gold came from beneath the rocks sometimes thousands of feet below the ground. Gold mining involved using of advanced technologies including satellite mapping for identifying and analyzing the prospective reserves.

Drilling and engineering involved examining samples of rock for traces of gold and determining the size of the deposit, depth and grade. The drilling took place at several locations and the samples collected were chemically analyzed. Analyzing the results would lead to identification of right location for mining based on consideration of depth of deposits, topography of the surrounding terrain, difficulty in reaching and bringing out gold, presence of water and potential impact on environment and wildlife. Decision was also taken whether to go in for open pit mine or underground mine. Experts believed that it took nearly five years from the discovery till the start of actual mining of gold.

Holes are drilled for blasting and samples are examined for their characteristics. Based on the metallurgical property, the ores are sent to different processing machines. The low grade ore was broken into mall chunks and a dilute solution of cyanide was passed over it. Cyanide dissolves gold and this solution was collected for further processing. The high grade ore was sent to grinding mill to convert into powder and based on its characteristics was directly sent to leaching circuit which involved passing cyanide solution onto gold or an indirect process of either carbon refractory ore or sulfide refractory ore after which the gold was sent to leaching circuit. Gold treated with cyanide was absorbed onto activated carbon, and then moved into a vessel to chemically remove the carbon and then extracted through electrolysis. The impure gold was belted into dole bars and sent to refineries to purify the gold.

Refining involved the separation of gold from other metals. First crude gold was melted and chlorine passed over it to absorb the other metals. This yielded 99.5% pure gold and was cast into anodes. Through electrolysis, 99.99% of the gold was deposited in the cathode.

On exhaustion of reserves, gold mines are abandoned, yet strict environmental standards mean, detailed plans need to be submitted for reclamation of the land and restoring the site to its natural state.

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